Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 0.005402 0.005991 0.006629 0.007375 0.008224 0.009165 0.010289
2025-06-29 0.004372 0.005159 0.006081 0.007247 0.008694 0.010449 0.012759
2025-07-06 0.003771 0.004631 0.005688 0.007099 0.008956 0.011352 0.014733
2025-07-13 0.003396 0.004306 0.005470 0.007091 0.009332 0.012381 0.016952
2025-07-20 0.003172 0.004135 0.005411 0.007259 0.009929 0.013746 0.019803
2025-07-27 0.002913 0.003887 0.005213 0.007198 0.010175 0.014615 0.022021
2025-08-03 0.002715 0.003698 0.005073 0.007194 0.010487 0.015600 0.024544
2025-08-10 0.002524 0.003500 0.004898 0.007111 0.010659 0.016368 0.026807
2025-08-17 0.002390 0.003373 0.004813 0.007152 0.011020 0.017474 0.029814
2025-08-24 0.002241 0.003212 0.004660 0.007068 0.011160 0.018212 0.032257
2025-08-31 0.002078 0.003016 0.004439 0.006852 0.011048 0.018489 0.033844
2025-09-07 0.001976 0.002907 0.004345 0.006834 0.011276 0.019398 0.036836
2025-09-14 0.001924 0.002877 0.004381 0.007052 0.011969 0.021314 0.042404
2025-09-21 0.001805 0.002734 0.004224 0.006923 0.012016 0.021995 0.045447
2025-09-28 0.001696 0.002600 0.004070 0.006783 0.012024 0.022594 0.048415
2025-10-05 0.001621 0.002515 0.003993 0.006776 0.012285 0.023751 0.052977
2025-10-12 0.001580 0.002484 0.004007 0.006935 0.012897 0.025749 0.060144
2025-10-19 0.001507 0.002395 0.003911 0.006877 0.013052 0.026750 0.064904
2025-10-26 0.001448 0.002326 0.003846 0.006873 0.013319 0.028048 0.070829
2025-11-02 0.001383 0.002242 0.003748 0.006795 0.013416 0.028951 0.075827
2025-11-09 0.001339 0.002193 0.003711 0.006834 0.013776 0.030557 0.083436
2025-11-16 0.001282 0.002117 0.003619 0.006754 0.013857 0.031465 0.089065
2025-11-23 0.001212 0.002015 0.003473 0.006549 0.013623 0.031517 0.091834